Contents

Proposal

Abstract

Chapter One: Introduction and Causation Theory

Introduction

Study Area

Thesis Justification

Causation vs. Correlation

Chapter Two: Climate Proxies and Reconstruction

Interdisciplinary Approach

Written Documents

Climate and Written Sources

Content Analysis of Agricultural Records

Content Analysis Coding System

220-1270 Written Record

1271-1599 Wool Standard

1600-1676 Wheat Standard

1677-1697 First Rain Records

1698-1720 Detailed Reports

Historical Documents and Climate

Scientific Methodology of Reconstructing Climate

Dendrochronology

Huber and German Dendrochronology

Becker and German Dendrochronology

Rainer-Buch and the 27-Year Error

Palynology

Sustenance-types and Palynology

Chapter Three: Current German Migration Theories

Germanic Movement Theories

Climate Influence Theories

Chapter Four: Evidence of Climate Change in 3rd and 4th Century AD Germania

Meteorological Data and Tree Rings

Marker Dates and Tree Rings

Climate Relationship of Central Europe

Tree Ring Data for Germania

Palynology and Germania

The Droughts of the 3rd and 4th Centuries AD

Chapter Five: The Movement and Attacks of the Germanic Tribes

Filtering the Historic Events of the 3rd and 4th Centuries AD

Movements and Invasions of the Germanic Tribes

Timeline of Events in and around Germania AD 150-410

The Disparity in Identifying the Germanic Tribes

Roman-German Border Relations

Sedentary or Pastoral

Germanic Tribes Migrating as a Unit

Chapter Six: Climate Change and the Migration of the Germanic Tribes

Climate Change and Humans

Criteria for Timeline Events

Abridged Timeline for Germania AD 150 - 410

Analysis of the Abridged Timeline and Climate Data

Tree Rings, Agriculture and the Germanic Tribes

Chapter Seven: Possible Implications and Conclusions

Climate Change Theories and Europe

The Germanic Migrations of the 3rd and 4th Centuries AD

Possible Implications

Conclustions

 

 

Bibliography